Let's see what we got here.
With two games left, this is the current playoff picture.
1.) Merlin Olsen Twins* - 9-2-0 - 1,270.50
2.) Pretty Ponies* - 8-3-0 - 1,217.00
3.) Attitude City Ninjas* - 8-3-0 - 1,199.50
4.) The BarnCows - 7-4-0 - 1,135.00
5.) Ball Fondlers* - 8-3-0 - 1,333.00
6.) Cairo Cardinals* - 7-3-1 - 988.00
7.) Clown Town Bliggas - 6-5-0 - 1,101.00
8.) The Carny Army - 5-6-0 - 1,107.00
Asterisks are for teams that already clinched a playoffs spot.
The following players can still make it.
9.) The Romie Resurgence - 5-6-0 - 988.50
10.) Pillsbury Doughboys - 5-6-0 - 982.00
11.) MexiHawks - 4-7-0 - 1,104.50
12.) Louisville Losers - 4-7-0 - 1,009.00
13.) Fournettecation - 3-7-1 - 980.50
That leaves Huh's Red Redskins, Moose Nuggets and Sox's Team by Proxy out of the hunt, entirely.
Caleb has essentially clinched. On the most technical technicality possible, he hasn't clinched yet. Burdur or Ian could pass him, putting him in 8th, but TJ and CB would need to not only win both games, while Caleb loses both, but they'd need to score around 150 points more than Caleb does in the last two weeks. Again, a technicality more than anything.
So, let's go over just how each remaining team can make it, with only two possible spots for seven teams.
Clown Town Bliggas: Pretty simple here. One more win and he's in. The only teams that could tie him, by that point, would Caleb, Ian, CB and TJ. Like Caleb, he'd only possibly be taken out by TJ or CB getting way more points than they can realistically get.
The Carny Army: Winning his two remaining games would clinch it for him under the same idea as Burdur and Caleb. He could still lose one or both and make it, though, if CB and TJ lose an equal amount of games and Mexi loses one.
The Romie Resurgence: If he wins one of his remaining games, he needs Ian to lose both of his, while needing CB to lose at least one (and staying under him with points) and he needs Mexi and Rellim to lose both, due to how many points they have. If he wins both of his remaining games, he'd need two of the following three things to happen: Burdur loses both games, Ian and CB lose at least one (or CB remains under him in points). If he loses both remaining games, he's out.
Pillsbury Doughboys: He essentially needs the same as TJ, except replace CB having less points than TJ with TJ having less points than CB.
MexiHawks: If he wins one of his remaining games and not the other, he's out. He'd need Ian, TJ and CB all to lose both of theirs, but TJ is facing CB this week. If he wins his two remaining games, he needs a combination of two between: Burdur losing both and not passing him in points, Ian losing both or losing just once but dropping under Mexi in points, CB and TJ losing at least once.
Louisville Losers: He has to win twice, due to his points total being too far under Ian's. If he wins twice, he needs Ian to lose twice and Mexi to lose once.
Fournettecation: The most farfetched choice possible, but it's still a possibility. He'd need to win both of his remaining games while everyone from rank 8-under, who's still in contention, loses both of theirs (excluding Mexi and Greg, who'd need to lose once). The draw would give him 8th place.
Now, while six people are already guaranteed in, the seeds are still up in the air. I'm the only person who guaranteed their division lead. Caleb or Burdur can lead the East division (due to Ian's 0.5 loss to Caleb in week 1, he can't win a tiebreaker against him and Burdur's 3-0 in the division). Pat or JHalc can lead the South division. And Drachen or Abdel can lead the West division. So myself + any of those six guys can end in the top 4.
Last thing I wanna look at here are the matchups for the last two weeks to determine who's more likely to win. Burdur needs a single win to guarantee him a spot, but he's facing me and then CB. Those are two games that could easily go either way. Ian's got Greg and then Moose. A win against Moose is just about guaranteed and I feel like a win over Greg is likely (would be even likelier if he still adjusted his lineup). If he wins both, he's clinched, and I think he has a very good chance for that (which would automatically take Rellim and Greg out of contention). TJ's got CB and then Abdel. Both are games I could see going either way, though I'd edge them in TJ's favor. CB has TJ and Burdur, which are both matches I already said could go either way. I do think he's more likely to lose both of them, though. Mexi needs a very unlikely win against Pat, followed by what will probably be a win over Red Sox. Rellim's got Huh (likely an easy win) and JHalc (not so much). Finally, Greg has Ian and Caleb, both possible to win, but I don't expect it.
So, I'm expecting Ian to win his remaining two and claim a spot in the playoffs. Outside of him, I think the most likely to get in his Burdur. He could very well lose both of his remaining games, but I don't think it's likely he doesn't win at least one. If he wins at least once and Ian wins both, they're clinched, so that's my guess. Assuming Burdur ends up losing both games, I'd say the most likely in would be TJ. I can't see Mexi beating Pat (though it is possible) and I think TJ has the easier match-ups than CB. Although CB would be beating Burdur in the scenario that Burdur loses both of his. CB vs. TJ this week could be a very important game. If Ian wins out, like I expect, and I beat Burdur, it'll be down to the winner of CB/TJ and Burdur. Whoever loses couldn't pass Burdur, due to the points difference.
So, for this week, the most important matches with playoff contendership implications are me vs. Burdur, Ian vs. Greg and CB vs. TJ. If Burdur beats me, he's in. If Ian beats Greg, while Burdur wins, then the loser of CB/TJ is guaranteed out. And, to be honest, if Ian wins this week, he's pretty much guaranteed to go in. No way does he lose to Moose in week 13. Him and Burdur winning this week essentially confirms the playoffs, outside of seeds.
Mexi, Rellim and Greg are all in must-win matches.